멕시코 정부, 유가하락으로 고속철 건설 무기한 연기 Mexico cuts spending, suspends high-speed rail project Add to ...

In this Wednesday, Jan. 21, 2015 photo, Mexico's President Enrique Pena Nieto attends a ceremony 

promoting housing for low income families, single mothers and members of the armed forces, at Los 

Pinos presidential residence in Mexico City.(Marco Ugarte/AP) 멕시코 니에토 대통령

New airport in mexico city 

[관련보도링크 Related Article]

계약 취소 멕시코 고속철' 이달 중순 재입찰 Mexico To Reopen Bidding For Multibillion High-speed Train At Center Of Scandal

멕시코 정부, 고속철 수주 취소 '중국컨소시엄'에 입찰 비용 보상키로 Mexico will pay Chinese firm compensation for cancelled high-speed rail bid

케이콘텐츠 kcontents

멕시코 정부가 올해 차후 수년간의 유가 하락에 대비해 국내총생산(GDP)의 0.7%에 해당하는 규모인 약 124.3억페소(미화 83억불)의 예산을 삭감하기로 했다고 발표했다.  이에 따라 유카탄 반도 철도건설 계획이 취소됐고 멕시코시티와 퀘레타로를 연결하는 고속철도 계획도 보류시켰다. 멕시코 재무장관은 "예산의 삭감을 통해 부채의 증가를 줄이고 세금 인상을 막기 위한 조치로 국영 석유회사와 전기회사들도 지출을 억제할 것이다"라고 말했다. 멕시코는 정부 예산의 약 1/3을 석유 수출에 의지하고 있으며 OPEC가 11월 석유 공급 감소를 결정한 이후 국제유가 하락이 반영되면서 멕시코 석유 가격은 5년간 최저 수준을 유지하고 있다. 하지만 예산 삭감이 멕시코 신공항 건설에는 영향을 주지 않을 것이라고 언급했다.   37억 달러에 달하는 고속철 건설 프로젝트는 작년 11월 중국 기업 컨소시엄이 사업자로 선정됐으나 멕시코 정부가 일방적으로 계약을 취소한 바 있으며 올해 초 재입찰을 발표했으나 결국 무기한 연기으로써 차후 시행 가능성도 불투명해졌다. 황기철 콘페이퍼 에디터

 

Eric Martin and Brendan Case  Bloomberg News The Mexican government will cut 2015 spending by 0.7 per cent of gross domestic product on the expectation that oil prices may remain low for years, Finance Minister Luis Videgaray said. Stocks extended declines. President Enrique Pena Nieto’s administration will reduce spending by 124.3 billion pesos ($8.3-billion U.S.) this year from the level approved by lawmakers in November, Videgaray said at news conference in Mexico City.  The government is cancelling plans for a passenger train in the Yucatan peninsula and suspending a high-speed rail project meant to connect Mexico City and Queretaro, Videgaray said. The reductions will allow Mexico to avoid raising additional debt or increasing taxes, Videgaray said. Mexico’s state-owned oil and electricity companies will cut their own outlays, and all the reductions will have a marginal effect on 2015 growth, Videgaray said. “We will take measures not only addressing the current situation, but rather we’ll take them in an integrated manner and with medium-term vision,” Videgaray said. The government depends on oil revenue to fund about one third of federal spending. Mexico’s crude prices have tumbled to a five-year low, mirroring the decline in international prices after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries decided against cutting supply in November. The spending cuts won’t affect plans for a new airport for Mexico City, Videgaray said. Stocks, Growth While the government says that Mexico is hedged against lower crude prices in 2015, that doesn’t protect public finances from falling production or low oil prices in future years. Mexican stocks declined on the dimmer outlook for the construction industry, said Jorge Lagunas, a money manager at Grupo Financiero Interacciones. The IPC index extended its decline after Videgaray’s comments, dropping 2.2 per cent to 40,950.58 at the close in Mexico City. Cemex SAB, the largest cement-maker in the Americas, fell 4.3 per cent. Grupo Carso SAB, whose holdings include a construction unit, dropped 2.8 per cent. The peso weakened 1.2 per cent against the dollar to 14.9770, the biggest decline except for the Brazilian real among 16 major currencies tracked by Bloomberg. Growth Outlook The government stands by its previous forecast for economic growth, Videgaray said. In November the Finance Ministry forecast GDP growth of 3.2 per cent to 4.2 per cent this year, up from estimated growth of 2.1 per cent to 2.6 per cent in 2014. Mexico’s crude mix has plummeted 61 per cent from a June high to $40.40 per barrel on Friday. Also Thursday, the central bank kept borrowing costs unchanged at a record low, saying the economy faces significant downside risks. After a surprise half-point cut in June, policy makers have kept rates unchanged at a record-low 3 per cent in an effort to provide stimulus without stoking inflation. Production at state-owned oil producer Petroleos Mexicanos, known as Pemex, is headed for the worst month of output since 1995, falling to 2.235 million barrels a day through Jan. 25, according to preliminary figures. That’s less than the Finance Ministry’s estimate of 2.4 million barrels a day for this year. Oil Hedge Pena Nieto last year pushed through final rules for an overhaul to open the oil industry to private-sector participation, and the first contracts are scheduled to be awarded later this year. Pemex will cut 62 billion pesos from its budget, and Comision Federal de Electricidad, Mexico’s state-owned power provider, will reduce planned spending by 10 billion pesos, Videgaray said. While Mexico’s 2015 oil exports are hedged at $76.40 a barrel, double the current market price, crude is likely to remain low in 2016 and beyond, Videgaray said. Mexico wouldn’t be able to repeat its hedge at higher prices after the market’s plunge, Shelly Shetty, the head of Latin American Sovereigns at Fitch Ratings Ltd., said on a panel at the Council of the Americas in New York on Thursday. Videgaray said he remained open to an independent probe into his 2012 purchase of a home in Malinalco, Mexico, from a unit of Grupo Higa, which also built a house for Pena Nieto’s wife. He declined to say what interest rate he paid on Higa– provided financing for the Malinalco property. Another Higa company was part of a group that won a $4.3-billion contract to build the Mexico-Queretaro high-speed rail line in November, three days before the government canceled the deal due to “doubts and concerns.” The bidding process was set to start afresh this year before Videgaray announced the project’s suspension Friday. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/international-business/latin-american-business/mexico-cuts-spending-suspends-high-speed-rail-project/article22729780/

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