전세계 전력 에너지 설비 비중 변화 NEW ENERGY OUTLOOK 2015, BNEF(VIDEO)

By 2040, the world’s power-generating capacity mix..

화석연료, 65%로 전체의 3분의 2 차지

(2012년 기준)

신재생에너지, 2040년까지 60% 점유 전망

풍력발전, 2030년 화석연료설비보다 싸져

9일 블룸버그 뉴에너지 파이낸스(BNEF)가 전세계 전력구조를 분석해 발간한 '뉴에너지 아웃룩 

2015'에 따르면 2012년 기준 전세계 에너지 설비 비중은 화석연료가 65%로 전체의 3분의 2를 

차지했다.

By 2040, the world’s power-generating capacity mix will have transformed: from today’s system composed of two-thirds fossil fuels to one with 60% from zero-emission energy sources. Renewables will command just under 60% of the 9,786GW of new generating capacity and two-thirds of the $12.2 trillion of investment.

Power findings

The 5 shifts that will shake the global electricity system

1.Solar, solar everywhere. The further decline in the cost of photovoltaic technology will drive a $3.7 trillion surge in investment in solar, both large-scale and small-scale.

2.Power to the people. Some $2.2 trillion of this will go on rooftop and other local PV systems, handing consumers and businesses the ability to generate their own electricity, to store it using batteries and – in parts of the developing world – to access power for the first time.

3.Demand undershoots. The march of energy-efficient technologies in areas such as lighting and air conditioning will help to limit growth in global power demand to 1.8% per year, down from 3% per year in 1990-2012. In OECD countries, power demand will be lower in 2040 than in 2014.

4.Gas flares only briefly. Natural gas will not be the “transition fuel” to wean the world off coal. North American shale will change the gas market, but coal-to-gas switching will be mainly a US story. Many developing nations will opt for a twin-track of coal and renewables.

 

5.Climate peril. Despite investment of $8 trillion in renewables, there will be enough legacy fossil-fuel plants and enough investment in new coal-fired capacity in developing countries to ensure global CO2 emissions rise all the way to 2029, and will still be 13% above 2014 levels in 2040.

VIDEO

http://www.bloomberg.com/company/new-energy-outlook/#form

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